Tingwei “Lucy” Ko, Jean-Philippe Nicot, Edna Rodriguez Calzado, Andrea Salas Rivera, and Ning Lin (2026). Aquifer Geochemistry of the Texas High Plains: Assess and Evaluate Sustainable Industrial Water Sourcing via Brackish Dockum Aquifer, West Texas and New Mexico. Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin. https://doi.org/10.26153/tsw/64806
The rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI) data centers in West Texas and southeast New Mexico has the potential to significantly boost local economies in the region. It is also creating challenges. Data centers require significant power—facilities that draw more than 75 MW are categorized as “large loads” by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). 75 MW of electricity is enough to power 15,000-20,000 homes. The total population of Pecos, Texas, for example, is only 10,000 people. With the addition of a significant number of massive AI data centers, and other large loads in the region—including those related to electrification of oil and gas operations and other industrial processes—Texas is bracing itself for a potential doubling of its power demand by 2030.
In addition to their power demands, AI data centers are also straining water infrastructure. Due to the availability of land and local access to energy resources, many data centers are being sited in Texas and New Mexico in locations that face water scarcity. Depending on their size and cooling strategy, data centers can require 0.5 million to more than 5 million gallons of water per day. Although most AI data centers in West Texas and southeast New Mexico are now employing air-cooled strategies, these can still require significant quantities of water. The bottom line is that local water resources will be strained if not managed properly.
The University of Texas at Austin (UT Austin) is conducting research to identify water sources in West Texas and southeast New Mexico that can support the development of large load AI data centers without increasing pressure on limited freshwater supplies. This work more broadly supports industrial water-supply planning more generally and identifies priorities for future sampling, modeling, and aquifer testing. The report by Lucy Ko and colleagues assesses the brackish Dockum Aquifer as a viable potential water source for data centers and other large industrial facilities in water-constrained areas of West Texas and eastern New Mexico.
The region has long relied on the freshwater Ogallala Aquifer, where groundwater withdrawals have exceeded recharge for decades. At UT Austin, we have been working to identify unknown or poorly understood aquifer features (e.g., deep channels, collapsed zones, faults), improve resolution accuracy of aquifer maps and informing strategic groundwater development, particularly for brackish water supply projects, as well as assessing and piloting novel imaging techniques for scalable aquifer exploration.
The deeper and more mineralized Dockum Aquifer is an underused brackish groundwater resource that may provide an alternative to Ogallala withdrawals.
The Bureau of Economic Geology in the Jackson School of Geosciences, established in 1909 as the State Geological Survey of Texas and the oldest research unit at UT Austin, assembled a team of world-leading experts in hydrogeology, groundwater geochemistry, water-resource assessment, treatment considerations, and large-load infrastructure analysis to evaluate Dockum Aquifer resources for AI data centers. The team compiled data from 895 groundwater samples from across the Dockum and associated aquifer systems into a three-dimensional hydrogeochemical framework showing salinity classes and major-ion chemistry. The potential of the Dockum depends on local water chemistry, aquifer productivity, treatment requirements, management of treatment residuals, and responsible long-term withdrawal planning.
Key Takeaways from the Report:
The Dockum Aquifer is a promising alternative water source: Brackish groundwater from the Dockum Aquifer could support industrial uses, including data center cooling, in water-constrained West Texas and southeast New Mexico when paired with appropriate planning, treatment, and responsible management of treatment residuals.
Local conditions matter: Water chemistry varies substantially across the study area. Salinity and constituents that can cause scaling, fouling, and membrane degradation require site-specific treatment plans rather than a single system design.
Facility location and water sourcing should be planned together: Siting decisions should account for source-water chemistry, aquifer transmissivity, and well yield. Areas with lower salinity and higher transmissivity may be more favorable for development.
Dockum Aquifer productivity is uneven: Variations in aquifer thickness, flow pathways, well yield, and transmissivity affect sustainable withdrawal rates and vary significantly across the region, impacting locally the ability to supply continuous industrial demand.
Several constraints must be evaluated early: Treatment demands, power requirements, cost, brine disposal, permitting, and long-term water availability influence whether a Dockum-sourced water supply can scale successfully in a specific location and must be evaluated prior to project inception.
Research Team
All five researchers are affiliated with The Bureau of Economic Geology in the Jackson School of Geosciences at The University of Texas at Austin.
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